You miss my point. If it self-spreds, it spreads to those who have let it loose. Unless one assumes (hard assumption) that they are all suicidal, it doesn't make sense to release a self-replicating and self-spreading prion into the world, because you and your progeny will be equal targets. Unless you have prophylaxis/antidote that you ha…
You miss my point. If it self-spreds, it spreads to those who have let it loose. Unless one assumes (hard assumption) that they are all suicidal, it doesn't make sense to release a self-replicating and self-spreading prion into the world, because you and your progeny will be equal targets. Unless you have prophylaxis/antidote that you have access to.
From Bayesian point of view the "they're going to kill us all, incl. themselves" has too many unproven assumptions, hence low probability.
Therefor a more believable scenario would one where those releasing have a "cure".
You miss my point. If it self-spreds, it spreads to those who have let it loose. Unless one assumes (hard assumption) that they are all suicidal, it doesn't make sense to release a self-replicating and self-spreading prion into the world, because you and your progeny will be equal targets. Unless you have prophylaxis/antidote that you have access to.
From Bayesian point of view the "they're going to kill us all, incl. themselves" has too many unproven assumptions, hence low probability.
Therefor a more believable scenario would one where those releasing have a "cure".
I'm sure those mad DoD scientists do have an antidote for themselves and their families.